Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 3.003994 3.574540 4.194072 4.913182 5.721229 6.597545 7.616039
2026-01-11 2.318335 3.096128 4.011167 5.152221 6.521524 8.096535 10.028981
2026-01-18 1.741888 2.609329 3.711982 5.180829 7.048712 9.307223 12.204211
2026-01-25 1.258347 2.126830 3.321511 5.018602 7.297008 10.179111 14.023098
2026-02-01 0.921396 1.761293 3.010368 4.895722 7.554799 11.054963 15.882452
2026-02-08 0.678071 1.471207 2.746008 4.784758 7.793676 11.897937 17.727185
2026-02-15 0.508811 1.254556 2.547578 4.730454 8.087269 12.812419 19.696284
2026-02-22 0.424708 1.167463 2.538271 4.954033 8.788777 14.316626 22.523686
2026-03-01 0.329015 1.027205 2.410317 4.965175 9.160554 15.360998 24.748426
2026-03-08 0.225469 0.830208 2.138653 4.695499 9.062908 15.703591 25.980516
2026-03-15 0.156481 0.684578 1.932254 4.504925 9.062827 16.174142 27.397279
2026-03-22 0.134241 0.657454 1.963954 4.747375 9.786838 17.768924 30.509905
2026-03-29 0.119809 0.650579 2.042693 5.093602 10.720452 19.746889 34.292088
2026-04-05 0.103738 0.631383 2.090131 5.383179 11.573557 21.633677 38.001088
2026-04-12 0.079705 0.569690 2.024556 5.439598 12.019849 22.892639 40.799379
2026-04-19 0.053920 0.479991 1.867519 5.287200 12.078152 23.525619 42.654871
2026-04-26 0.036139 0.407676 1.736063 5.168855 12.183783 24.231738 44.636862
2026-05-03 0.023605 0.346314 1.616964 5.058886 12.290692 24.935088 46.624824
2026-05-10 0.015554 0.299932 1.528640 5.005634 12.497806 25.808781 48.901431
2026-05-17 0.012810 0.291501 1.560912 5.240977 13.280360 27.687241 52.832770
2026-05-24 0.008591 0.259712 1.504827 5.253882 13.619603 28.810603 55.570033
2026-05-31 0.004034 0.204026 1.341230 4.973165 13.343182 28.846032 56.531269
2026-06-07 0.001797 0.163937 1.217885 4.774575 13.215626 29.130386 57.899026